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Dick's Picks History


Downey's Picks on the Road to the Kentucky Derby


Read about The Downey Profile

SCROLL DOWN FOR RESULTS BACK TO 2011
 
Dick's Picks on the 2016 Kentucky Derby Trail
 
The Downey Profile engaged in a limited edition on the 2016 Road to the Kentucky Derby. Dick Downey's father was very ill at the time. Downey picked the winners of two out of three preps right on top and had all three winners in his selections, including right-on-topper Creator at 11-1 in the Arkansas Derby. Selections in that race also yielded an exacta payoff of $120.20 on a $2 ticket.
 
Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
1. Brody's Cause (first at 4-1)
2. Zulu (twelfth at 2-1)
3. Cherry Wine (third at 9-2)
4. Donegal Moon (eighth at 10-1)

My Man Sam edged Cherry Wine at 9-2

Wood Memorial
1. Flexibility (seventh at 6-1)
2. Shagaf (fifth at 9-5)
3. Matt King Coal (fourth at 5-2)
4. Outwork (first at 2-1)

Trojan Nation second at 81-1; Adventist third at 10-1

Arkansas Derby
1. Creator (first at 11-1)
2. Cupid (tenth at 4-5)
3. Suddenbreakingnews (second at 5-1)
4. Gettysburg (fifth at 14-1)

Whitmore (5-1) third, Dazzling Gem (19-1) fourth
$2 exacta paid $120.20
 
 

Dick's Picks on the 2015 Kentucky Derby Trail

Dick's Picks produced four right-on-top winners with 10 winners overall appearing in his selections, seven exactas, four trifectas and three superfectas from 14 races. Big payoffs were hard to come by, though.

Lecomte Stakes
1. Savoy Stomp (fifth at 7-2)
2. Eagle (seventh at 3-1)
3. Another Lemon Drop (fourth at 7-1)
4. Tiznow R J (third at 4-1)
International Star won at 9-1; War Story second at 5-1

Smarty Jones Stakes
1. Mr. Z (third at 1-1)
2. Lucky Player (eighth at 14-1)
3. Bayerd (second at 5-1)
4. Hebbronville (sixth at 4-1)
Far Right won at 5-2

Holy Bull Stakes
1. Bluegrass Singer (third at 3-1)
2. Upstart (first at 2-1)
3. High Noon Rider (DNF at 17-1)
4. Frosted (second at 3-2)
$2 exacta paid $17.00; $1 trifecta paid $25.70

Withers Stakes
1. El Kabeir (second at 1-2)
2. Classy Class (third at 7-2)
3. Genereal Bellamy (sixth and last at 14-1)
Far from Over won at 6-1

Fountain of Youth Stakes
1. Itsaknockout (first at 5-1)
2. Gorgeous Bird (fifth at 6-1)
3. Upstart (second at 4-5)
4. Frosted (fourth at 7-2)
Frammento third at 63-1
$2 exacta paid $30.00

Southwest Stakes
1. Mr. Z (third at 2-1)
2. Far Right (first at 5-2)
3. Private Prospect (seventh at 14-1)
4. Hillbilly Royalty (fifth at 5-1)
The Truth or Else nosed Mr. Z for second at 22-1.

Tampa Bay Derby
1. Ocean Knight (seventh at 8-5)
2. Carpe Diem (first at 1-1)
3. Ami's Flatter (second at 13-1)
4. Moonlight Bandit (sixth at 64-1)
Divining Rod third at 13-1
$2 exacta paid $40.40

Gotham Stakes
1. Classy Class (third at 4-1)
2. El Kabeir (first at 6-5)
3. Tencendur (fifth at 7-1
4. Pletcher entry (sixth, seventh, eigtht at 3-1)
Tiz Shea D headed Classy Class for second at 11-1

Rebel Stakes
1. American Pharoah (first at 2-5)
2. The Truth or Else (fourth at 5-1)
3. Bold Conquest (third at 8-1)
4. Madefromlucky (second at 5-1)
$2 exacta paid $8.60; $1 trifecta paid $14.40; $1 superfecta paid $24.50

Spiral Stakes
1. Metaboss (sixth at 8-5)
2. Royal Son (fifth at 5-2)
3. Conquest Typhoon (second at 4-1)
4. Wireless Future (seventh at 9-1)
Dubai Sky won at 7-1. Firespike third at 37-1. Task Force Glory fourth at 70-1

Florida Derby
1. Itsaknockout (fourth at 5-1)
2. Upstart (second at 1-1)
3. Ami's Flatter (third at 7-1)
4. Materiality (first at 9-5)
$2 exacta paid $11.00, $1 trifecta paid $16.60, $1 superfecta paid $28.30

Blue Grass Stakes
1. Carpe Diem (first at 2-5)
2. Ocho Ocho Ocho (third at 5-1)
3. Frammento (fourth at 10-1)
4. Danzig Moon (second at 15-1)
$2 exacta paid $18.00; $1 trifecta paid $31.00; $1 superfecta paid $141.90

Wood Memorial
1. El Kabeir (third at 2-1)
2. Frosted (first at 2-1)
3. Tiz Shea D (fifth at 6-1)
Tencender second at 21-1

Arkansas Derby
1. American Pharoah (first)
2. Madefromlucky (fourth)
3. Far Right (second)
4. Bold Conquest (fifth)
Mr. Z third at 20-1
$2 exacta paid $7.00

 

Dick's Picks on the 2014 Kentucky Derby Trail

Wagering on Downey's 2014 Derby Trail selections yielded results less attractive than previous years. Boxing the selections in $2 exactas cost $256.00 and returned $178.00. Trifecta and superfecta results were also negative, but see 2013 and previous years' results below.

Holy Bull Stakes
1. ALMOST FAMOUS (fourth at 12-1)
2. WICKED STRONG (ninth at 4-1)
3. CAIRO PRINCE (first at 2-1)
4. COUP DE GRACE tenth at 3-1)
with the four above and
5. INTENSE HOLIDAY (third at 16-1)
6. MR SPEAKER (seventh at 8-1)
Conquest Titan ran second at 11-1

Sam F. Davis Stakes
1. COUSIN STEPHEN (third at 7-2)
2. NOBLE CORNERSTONE (seventh at 9-5)
3. HARPOON (second at 9-5)
4. ASSERTING BEAR (fifth at 8-1)
Vinceremos won at 12-1

Robert B. Lewis Stakes
1. CANDY BOY (first at 2-1)
2. CHITU (second at 9-2)
3. MIDNIGHT HAWK (third at 6-5)
4. COOL SAMURAI (sixth at 6-1)
$2 exacta paid $29.40
$1 trifecta paid $31.30

Southwest Stakes
1. TAPITURE (first at 5-1)
2. STRONG MANDATE (second at 1-1)
3. KENDALL'S BOY (eleventh at 18-1)
4. COASTLINE (fourth at 14-1)
$2 exacta paid $31.40

Fountain of Youth Stakes
1. COMMISSIONER (sixth at 7-2)
2. TOP BILLING (third at 2-1)
3. GENERAL A ROD (second at 3-1)
4. MEDAL COUNT (fifth at 43-1)
Wildcat Red won at 9-2

Gotham Stakes
1. SAMRAAT (first at 2-1)
2. UNCLE SIGH (second at 7-2)
3. EXTRASEXYHIPPZSTER (eighth at 6-1)
4. HARPOON (fifth at 4-1)
$2 exacta paid $24.60

Tampa Bay Derby
1. COUSIN STEPHEN (sixth at 6-1)
2. CONQUEST TITAN (fourth at 5-2)
3. HY KODIAK WARRIOR (seventh at 9-2)
4. SURFING U S A (third at 6-1)
Ring Weekend won at 14-1; Vinceremos second at 9-2

Rebel Stakes
1. STRONG MANDATE (fourth at 2-1)
2. TAPITURE (second at 2-1)
3. HOPPERTUNITY (first at 7-1)
4. KOBE'S BACK (seventh at 3-1)
$2 exacta paid $54.40

Spiral Stakes
1. POKER PLAYER (tenth at 9-1)
2. TAMARANDO (eighth at 2-1)
3. ALL TIED UP (sixth at 19-1)
4. WE MISS ARTIE (first at 7-2)
Harry's Holiday second at 15-1

Florida Derby
1. GENERAL A ROD (third at 9-2)
2. CAIRO PRINCE (fourth at 6-5)
3. CONSTITUTION (first at 3-1)
4. WILDCAT RED (second at 7-2)
$2 exacta paid 38.20; $1 trifecta paid 53.00; $1 superfecta paid $95.40

Wood Memorial
1. SOCIAL INCLUSION (third at 8-5)
2. UNCLE SIGH (fifth at 5-1)
3. SAMRAAT (second at 3-1)
4. KRISTO (seventh at 17-1)
Wicked Strong won at 9-1

Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
1. COASTLINE (tenth at 7-1)
2. BOBBY'S KITTEN (twelfth at 7-2)
3. GALA AWARD (sixth at 5-1)
4. ASSERTING BEAR (eighth at 18-1)
Dance with Fate won at 6-1; Medal Count second at 6-1

 

 

Dick's Picks on the 2013 Kentucky Derby Trail

Wagering on Downey's 2013 Derby Trail selections yielded mixed results. Boxing the selections -- (1) in $2 exactas cost $300 and returned $217.40; (2) in $1 trifectas cost $294 and yielded $578.20; and (3) in $1 superfectas cost $300 and produced $2,971.20. See below for details.

Holy Bull Stakes
1. SHANGHAI BOBBY (second at 1-1)
2. ITSMYLUCKYDAY (first at 9-2)
3. FRAC DADDY (sixth at 5-1)
4. BERN IDENTITY (fifth at 4-1)
$2 exacta paid $31.40

Sam F. Davis Stakes
1. SPEAK LOGISTICS (fourth at 4-1)
2. DYNAMIC SKY (second at 9-5)
3. MY NAME IS MICHAEL (third at 8-5)
4. FALLING SKY (first at 7-1)
$2 exacta paid $59.60
$1 trifecta paid $76.90
$1 superfecta paid $286.20

Withers Stakes
1. LONG RIVER/VALID (eighth/seventh entry at 8-5)
2. REVOLUTIONARY (first at 3-4)
3. AMERIGO VESPUCCI (fourth at 21-1)
4. ESCAPEFROMREALITY (second at 16-1)
$2 exacta paid $30.00

Southwest Stakes
1. ALWAYS IN A TIZ (fifth at 7-2)
2. WILL TAKE CHARGE (sixth at 7-1)
3. SUPER NINETY NINE (first at 1-1)
4. OFFICER ALEX (last at 19-1)
Second was Fear the Kitten at 22-1; third was Heaven's Runway at 59-1, fourth was Channel Isle at 48-1

Fountain of Youth Stakes
1. VIOLENCE (second at 3-5)
2. SPEAK LOGISTICS (third at 8-1)
3. FALLING SKY (scratch)
4. CERRO (sixth at 14-1)
Orb closed into a 1:08.85 pace and won at 5-1.

Gotham Stakes
1. OVERANALYZE (fifth at 8-5)
2. ELNAAWI (third at 8-1)
3. ESCAPEFROMREALITY (ninth at 7-1)
4. VYJACK (first at 2-1)
West Hills Giant completed the exacta at 33-1.

Tampa Bay Derby
1. VERRAZANO (first at 2-5)
2. DYNAMIC SKY (fourth at 4-1)
3. FALLING SKY (third at 11-1)
4. HONORABLE DILLON (seventh at 11-1)
Exacta completed by Java’s War at 32-1.

Spiral Stakes
1. FEAR THE KITTEN (fifth at 18-1)
2. MY NAME IS MICHAEL (eighth as 3-1 favorite)
3. BALANCE THE BOOKS (11th at 4-1)
4. MAC THE MAN (DNF at 6-1)
Race fell apart on me.

Florida Derby
1. ORB (first at 5-2)
2. ITSMYLUCKYDAY (second at 8-5)
3. INDY’S ILLUSION (ninth at 35-1)
4. PICK OF THE LITTER (sixth at 12-1)
$2 exacta paid $23.40

Wood Memorial
1. VERRAZANO (first at 4-5)
2. ELNAAWI (fifth at 8-1)
3. NORMANY INVASION (second at 7-2)
4. VYJACK (third at 3-1)
$2 exacta paid $11.40

Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
1. PALACE MALICE (second at 9-2)
2. CHARMING KITTEN (third at 22-1)
3. RYDILLUC (fourth at 7-2)
4. JAVA'S WAR (first at 9-2)
$2 exacta paid $61.40
$1 trifecta paid $501.30
$1 superfecta paid $2,685.00

Illinois Derby
1. ABRAHAM (fourth at 5-1)
2. DEPARTING (first at 9-5)
3. GROUND TRANSPORT (ninth at 7-2)
4. SHOW SOME MAGIC (11th at 15-1)

Lexington Stakes
1. SUNBEAN (fifth at 5-2)
2. PURE FUN (seventh at 7-2)
3. RIVER ROCKS (eighth at 8-1)
4. WINNING CAUSE (first at 6-1)
General Election completed the exacta at 24-1.

 

Dick's Picks on the 2012 Kentucky Derby Trail

His top selection won eight of  17 races. Selections yielded six exactas.

Holy Bull Stakes
1. ALGORITHMS (first at 5-2)
2. HANSEN (second at 4-5)
3. CONSORTIUM (sixth at 3-1)
My Adonis third at 22-1
Winner paid $7.00
$2 exacta paid $16.20

Sam F. Davis Stakes
1. PROSPECTIVE (second at 7-2)
2. ECABRONI (last at 7-2)
3. BATTLE HARDENED (first at 9-2)
4. NECK N' NECK (fifth at 6-1)
$2 exacta paid $62.00

Withers Stakes
1. ALPHA  (first at 1-5)
2. HAKAMA (sixth of six at 5-1)
3. HOW DO I WIN (fourth at 10-1)
Speightscity second at 44-1
Winner paid $2.70

Hutcheson Stakes
1. EVER SO LUCKY (scratched)
2. THUNDER MOCCASIN (first at 1-5)
3. QUICK WIT (third at 6-1)
Winner paid $2.40

Southwest Stakes, Div. 1
1. UNBRIDLED'S NOTE (ninth at 3-1)
2. LONGVIEW DRIVE (sixth at 3-1)
3. CASTAWAY (first at 6-1)
4. RECKLESS JERRY (third at 9-2)
Jake Mo ruins the exacta at 22-1.

Southwest Stakes, Div. 2
1. SECRET CIRCLE (first at 3-5)
2. CYBER SECRET (fifth at 5-1)
3. ADIRONDACK KING (third at 6-1)
4. PEE H DEE (fourth at 21-1)
Downey's four selections run 1st, 3d, 4th and 5th. Scatman second at 10-1.
Winner paid $3.20

Fountain of Youth Stakes
1. DISCREET DANCER (third at 4-5)
2. ALGORITHMS (scratched)
3. UNION RAGS (first at 6-5)
4. CASUAL TRICK (seventh and last at 8-1)
News Pending second at 27-1

Gotham Stakes
1. HANSEN (first at 4-5)
2. DAN AND SHEILA (11th at 9-1)
3. MY ADONIS (second at 5-1)
4. DONE TALKING (tenth at 18-1)
$2 exacta paid $17.20
Winner paid $3.60

San Felipe Stakes
1. CREATIVE CAUSE (first at 2-1)
2. LIAISON (fourth at 5-1)
3. EMPIRE WAY (ninth at 14-1)
4. AMERICAN ACT (seventh at 24-1)
Bodemeister second at 2-1. Midnight Transfer third at 14-1.
Winner paid $6.40

Palm Beach Stakes
1. HOWE GREAT (first at 3-5)
2. DULLAHAN (second at 2-1)
3. COALPORT (fifth at 7-2)
Csaba third at 18-1.
$2 exacta paid $8.80
Winner paid $3.40

Rebel Stakes
1. NAJJAAR (sixth at 9-1)
2. SECRET CIRCLE (first at 1-1)
3. SCATMAN (third at 8-1)
4. SABERCAT (8th at 4-1)
Optimizer second at 27-1

Spiral Stakes
1. TIZANEXPENSE (ninth at 17-1)
2. HEAVY BREATHING (third at 2-1)
3. WENT THE DAY WELL (first at 5-1)
4. STEALCASE (fifth at 8-1)
Holiday Promise second at 25-1

Florida Derby
1. UNION RAGS (third at 2-5)
2. EL PADRINO (fourth at 5-2)
3. NEWS PENDING (seventh at 21-1)
4. REVERON (second at 31-1)
Take Charge Indy won at 7-1

Wood Memorial
1. MY ADONIS (seventh at 6-1)
2. GEMOLOGIST (first at 6-5)
3. ALPHA (second at 2-1)
4. TIGER WALK (fourth at 17-1)
Teeth of the Dog third at 53-1)
$2 exacta paid $12.20

Illinois Derby
1. OUR ENTOURAGE (fifth at 4-1)
2. CURRENCY SWAP (eleventh at 5-2)
3. PRETENSION (ninth at 11-1)
4. MORGAN'S GUERILLA (second at 9-2)
Done Talking won at 12-1

Toyota Blue Grass Stakes
1. DULLAHAN (first at 3-1)
2. HANSEN (second at 6-5)
3.GUNG HO (third at 31-1)
4. EVER SO LUCKY (tenth at 11-1)
$2 exacta paid $23.60; $1 trifecta paid $164.50
Winner paid $8.40

Coolmore Lexington Stakes
1. NEWS PENDING (tenth at 10-1)
2. MORGAN'S GUERILLA (eleventh at 5-1)
3.GOLDEN TICKET (fifth at 9-1)
4. HAMMERS TERROR (third at 18-1)
All Sqared Away won at 70-1

 

Dick's Picks on the 2011 Kentucky Derby Trail

This was an unbelievable year for upset Top Four finishes in races Downey handicapped here. The results speak for themselves. This was the first time since we started tracking these numbers in 2008 that Downey's selections on the Triple Crown Trail didn't produce a positive return on investment.

Holy Bull Stakes
1. MUCHO MACHO MAN (fourth at 2-1)
2. GOURMET DINNER (third at 7-2)
3. BLACK N BEAUTY (fifth at 6-1)
4. DIALED IN (first at 5-2)
(Sweet Ducky finished second)

Whirlaway Stakes
1. RESCIND THE TRADE (last of 5 at 9-5)
2. TOBY'S CORNER (first at 9-2)
3. J J'S LUCKY TRAIN (second at 8-5)
$2 exacta paid $33.00

Sam F. Davis Stakes
1. BRETHREN (Won at 4-5)
2. BEAMER (fourth at 8-1)
3. WASHINGTON'S RULES (eighth at 3-1)
4. WATCH ME GO (third at 30-1)
(Too Experience second at 31-1)

Risen Star Stakes
1. MUCHO MACHO MAN (Won at 7-2)
2. SANTIVA (second at 6-1)
3. MACHEN (fourth at 2-1)
4. DECISIVE MOMENT (fifth at 11-1)
(Rogue Romance third at 2-1)
$2 exacta paid $72.80

Southwest Stakes
1. YANKEE PASSION (fifth at 8-1)
2. CALEB'S POSSE (sixth at 7-1)
3. ELITE ALEX (third at 2-1)
4. GHOST IS CLEAR (tenth at 8-1)
(Archarcharch won at 14-1; J P's Gusto second at 6-5)

Fountain of Youth Stakes
1. SHACKLEFORD (fifth at 17-1)
2. SOLDAT (Won at 7-5)
3. EL GRAYLING (DNF)
4. TO HONOR AND SERVE (third at 8-5)
(Gourmet Dinner second at 7-2; Bowman's Causeway fourth at 13-1)

Gotham Stakes
1. STAY THIRSTY (Won at 4-5)
2. TOBY'S CORNER (third at 8-5)
3. DAWLY (scratched)
4. PREACHINTOTHEDEVIL (scratched)
(Norman Asbjornson second at 47-1)

Tampa Bay Derby
1. BRETHREN (third at 1-2)
2. FREE ENTRY (sixth at 3-1)
3. BEAMER (fourth at 9-1)
4. MOONHANGER (ninth at 52-1)
(Watch Me Go first at 43-1; Crimson Knight second at 86-1)

Rebel Stakes
1. SWAY AWAY (sixth at 9-5)
2. ARCHARCHARCH (third at 7-1)
3. J W BLUE (longshot) (fifth at 53-1)
4. THE FACTOR (won at 7-5)
5. ELITE ALEX (scr)
(Caleb's Posse second at 24-1; Saratoga Red fourth at 34-1)

Louisiana Derby
1. WILKINSON (sixth at 8-1)
2. MUCHO MACHO MAN (third at 3-2)
3. MACHEN (fifth at 4-1)
4. ELITE ALEX (fourth at 7-2)
(Pants On Fire won at 6-1; Nehro second at 36-1)

Spiral Stakes
1. BEACHCOMBING (fourth at 8-1)
2. DECISIVE MOMENT (second at 6-1)
3. THIRTYFIRSTSTREET (ninth at 12-1)
4. POSITIVE RESPONSE (eighth at 8-5)
5. KING CONGIE (scratched)
(Animal Kingdom won at 3-1)

Florida Derby
1. TO HONOR AND SERVE (third at 7-2)
2. SOLDAT (fifth at 3-2)
3. DIALED IN (won at 5-2)
4. FLASHPOINT (fourth at 9-2)
(Shackleford second at 68-1)

Wood Memorial
1. UNCLE MO (third at 1-10)
2. PREACHINTOTHEDEVIL (eighth at 43-1)
3. TOBY'S CORNER (first at 8-1)
4. NORMAN ASBJORNSON (fourth at 26-1)
(Arthur's Tale second at 20-1)

Dick's Picks: Blue Grass Stakes
1. QUEEN'SPLATEKITTEN (seventh at 9-1)
2. SANTIVA (ninth at 2-1)
3. WILLCOX INN (eighth at 7-1)
4. WILKINSON (tenth at 11-1)
Brilliant Speed won at 19-1; rest of board was super long; $2 super paid $129,093.60